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On the basis of predictable demographic and technology cycles, Harry Dent has forecast since the late 1980s that the economic boom would be greater than previously thought and would last until the end of the current decade. Dent has been one of the most bullish forecasters for decades, standing virtually alone in forecasting the great bull market of the 1990s in his book The Great Boom Ahead (1992). Now he is calling for an end to this great bubble boom, after revising his forecasts downward for U.S. stocks in 2006 as a result of the increasingly adverse geopolitical cycle and rising oil/commodity prices. In all of his past books since 1989, Dent saw an end to the Baby Boom spending cycle around the end of this decade.
In his new book, The Great Depression Ahead, (Free Press, 2009), Harry Dent outlines how this next great downturn is likely to unfold in three stages, with an interim boom stage between 2012 and 2017 before the long-term slowdown finally turns into the next global boom in the early 2020s. India, not China, will dominate in this next global boom and the U.S. will outpace Europe. Dent shows which countries will have stronger growth trends during the downturn as well. More important, he shows how the economy’s life cycle will affect life, business, and investment strategies throughout a person’s lifetime, including career opportunities and children’s educational costs. No other time period is as likely to affect your wealth and well-being as the period from late 2009 into late 2012—especially late 2009 to mid 2011.
Synopsis:
The first and last economic depression that you will experience in your lifetime is just ahead. The year 2009 will be the beginning of the next long-term winter season and the initial end of prosperity in almost every market, ushering in a downturn like most of us have not experienced before. Are you aware that we have seen long-term peaks in our stock market and economy very close to every 40 years due to generational spending trends: as in 1929, 1968, and next around 2009? Are you aware that oil and commodity prices have peaked nearly every 30 years, as in 1920, 1951, 1980 — and next likely around late 2009 to mid-2010? The three massive bubbles that have been booming for the last few decades — stocks, real estate, and commodities — have all reached their peak and are deflating simultaneously.
Bestselling author and renowned economic forecaster Harry S. Dent, Jr., has observed these trends for decades. As he first demonstrated in his bestselling The Great Boom Ahead, he has developed analytical techniques that allow him to predict the impact they will have. The Great Depression Ahead explains “The Perfect Storm” as peak oil prices collide with peaking generational spending trends by 2010, leading to a more severe downtrend for the global economy and individual investors alike.
He predicts the following:
Conventional investment wisdom will no longer apply, and investors on every level — from billion-dollar firms to the individual trader — must drastically reevaluate their policies in order to survive. But despite the dire news and dark predictions, there are real opportunities to come from the greatest fire sale on financial assets since the early 1930s. Dent outlines the critical issues that will face our government and other major institutions, offering long- and short-term tactics for weathering the storm. He offers recommendations that will allow families, businesses, investors, and individuals to manage their assets correctly and come out on top. With the right knowledge and preparation, you can take advantage of new wealth opportunities rather than get caught in a downward spiral. Your life is about to change for reasons outside of your control. You can’t change the direction of the winds, but you can reset your sails!
About the Author
While at Bain & Company he worked as a consultant with several Fortune 100 companies. He has also been CEO of several entrepreneurial growth companies and an investor in new ventures. A frequent speaker on economic trends, Mr. Dent educates clients and partners on The Dent Method and provides strategic vision for asset allocation and investment selection.
As a Subscriber to the HS Dent Economic Forecast, much of the content within this book may be familiar to you. It includes a compilation of some of Harry’s work you may have already seen from previous special reports and newsletters.
Testimonials
“While being one of the most bullish and accurate forecasters for 20 years, Dent has always been warning that this great boom would end around 2008 - 2009.
He now sees a bigger crash ahead and a deflationary environment that
could ravage your portfolio. His warnings and predictions are well worth
reading and taking seriously.”
-David Bach
#1 New York Times bestselling author of Start Late, Finish
Rich and The Automatic Millionaire, 2008
“While many talk of change these days, the real question lies in assessing in what direction things will change. Harry Dent does a masterful job using demographics and other key cycles to lay out where and when changes will come that will have sweeping ramifications for our pocketbooks, our way of life and our nation. I cannot more highly recommend this book.”
-Mark Sanford
Governor of South Carolina, 2008
“Harry Dent is the reigning expert in applying sophisticated demographic analysis to economic forecasting. His past record of getting it right speaks for itself. I hope he’s wrong this time. I hope we don’t have a great depression by 2010. But given his track record, I won’t be betting against him.”
- Robert D. McTeer
Distinguished Fellow
National Center for Policy Analysis, &
Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2008
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